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The Mosaic Company

MOS
29
Agricultural Inputs · Basic Materials
Also trades as: 0K3B.L
Winston Score
29
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Good
Stability
Good
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Mixed

Winston Score History

The full picture

The Mosaic Company mines and sells two key nutrients that farmers use to grow crops: potash and phosphate. These minerals go into fertilizers that help plants grow faster and produce more food. Mosaic is one of the largest producers of both potash and phosphate in the world, selling mostly to farmers and agricultural distributors across North and South America.

Mosaic makes money by mining these minerals and selling them by the ton to fertilizer blenders, distributors, and large farming operations. The company operates mines and processing plants mainly in the United States, Canada, and Brazil, with Brazil being a growing part of its business. Its competitive edge comes from owning large, long-life mineral deposits that are expensive and difficult for competitors to replicate. The main risk the company faces is that fertilizer prices are highly volatile and tied to global supply, natural gas costs, and crop commodity prices — all factors largely outside Mosaic's control.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-6.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-168.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

0.6%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~3 years

$2.1B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

$2.1B cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

The Mosaic Company's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
7.6%
Thin — 7.6% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
-1.3%
Losing money on operations — -1.3%
Return on the money invested
ROCE
1.3%
Weak — 1.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+5.5%
Slow sales growth (+5.5% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-93.9%
Earnings shrinking (-93.9% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
1028%
Turns 1028% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-8.0%
Burning cash (-8.0%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.09
Conservative — low debt load (0.09)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
135.6x
no trend
Expensive — P/E 135.6

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+124.5
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (135.6 → 11.1)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
3.87%
no trend
Moderate income — 3.87% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+2.3%
no trend
Dividend flat

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