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Timbercreek Financial

TF.TO
41
Financial - Credit Services · Financial Services
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
41
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

Timbercreek Financial is a Canadian company that lends money to real estate investors and developers. Instead of helping regular people buy homes, it focuses on commercial properties like apartment buildings, office spaces, and retail centers. It provides short-term mortgage loans to borrowers who need faster or more flexible financing than traditional banks typically offer.

The company makes money by charging interest on the loans it issues, collecting the difference between its borrowing costs and the rates it charges clients. It operates almost entirely in Canada, with a loan portfolio of roughly $1 billion, and its edge comes from moving faster than banks and serving borrowers who fall outside strict bank lending rules. The main risk is that rising interest rates or a slowdown in Canadian commercial real estate could push borrowers into default, which would directly hurt the income Timbercreek depends on to pay its dividends to shareholders.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
40.7%
Healthy — 40.7% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
22.0%
Excellent — 22.0% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
2.3%
Weak — 2.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-4.7%
Shrinking sales (-4.7% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-37.2%
Earnings shrinking (-37.2% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
1/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
436%
Turns 436% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
74.8%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (74.8%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
2.32
Heavy debt load (2.32)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.94x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.9x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
20.0x
no trend
Fair value — P/E 20.0

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+9.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (20.0 → 10.7)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
11.40%
no trend
Healthy income — 11.40% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+0.0%
no trend
Dividend flat

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