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TransAlta

TA-PH.TO
38
Independent Power Producers · Utilities
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
38
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Mixed
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Data not available
Dividends
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

TransAlta is a Canadian electricity company that generates power and sells it to utilities, businesses, and governments. It owns and operates power plants across Canada, the United States, and Australia, using a mix of energy sources including wind, solar, hydro, and natural gas. It is one of Canada's largest independent power producers.

TransAlta makes money by selling electricity under long-term contracts, called power purchase agreements, as well as through wholesale energy markets. Most of its revenue comes from Canada, with meaningful operations in the U.S. Pacific Northwest and Western Australia. The company has been shifting away from coal toward cleaner energy sources, which reduces long-term regulatory risk but requires heavy capital spending. Its negative operating margin reflects the costs of that transition, and the pace of signing new long-term contracts for its renewable assets is the key factor that will shape its financial performance going forward.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+12.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+131.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

Insider Activity

11.3%ownership

Declining

Insider ownership declining — could be dilution or selling

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

C$598M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

TransAlta is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 12%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
88.9%
Premium pricing power — 88.9% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
29.4%
Excellent — 29.4% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
1.5%
Weak — 1.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-9.6%
Shrinking sales (-9.6% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
3/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
20.0%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (20.0%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
2.38
Heavy debt load (2.38)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
0.32x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.3x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
no trend
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
6.66%
no trend
Healthy income — 6.66% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+0.0%
no trend
Dividend flat

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