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Trex Company

TREX
51
Construction Materials · Basic Materials
Winston Score
51
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Mixed

Winston Score History

The full picture

Trex Company makes outdoor decking, railing, and related products for homes. Instead of using wood, Trex builds its products from a mix of recycled plastic and wood scraps — materials that would otherwise end up in landfills. The company sells primarily to homeowners through home improvement retailers like Home Depot and Lowe's, as well as through independent dealers and contractors across the United States.

Trex makes money by selling its composite decking and railing products directly to distributors and retailers, who then sell to end customers. The company operates almost entirely in the U.S., though it has a small international presence. Its main competitive advantage is brand recognition in the composite decking category and a large-scale manufacturing process that is difficult for smaller rivals to copy. The key risk is that demand for decking is tied closely to the housing market and home renovation spending, both of which slow down when interest rates are high or the economy weakens.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+7.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-15.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

0.9%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$6M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Trex Company is growing revenue at 8% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
37.9%
Modest — 37.9% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
20.6%
Excellent — 20.6% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
19.3%
Strong — 19.3% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+7.0%
Slow sales growth (+7.0% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-2.9%
Earnings shrinking (-2.9% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
202%
Turns 202% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
16.8%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (16.8%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.25
Conservative — low debt load (0.25)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
104.68x
Comfortably covers interest (104.7x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
27.9x
no trend
Growth-priced — P/E 27.9

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+0.6
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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