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Trinity Industries

TRN
46
Railroads · Industrials
Price
$29.79
+0.05 (+0.17%)
Market Cap
$2.37B
Winston Score
46
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Good
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Good

Share count falling — buybacks

20.1% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 103.8M (2021) → 82.9M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Trinity Industries makes railcars and leases them to companies that ship goods across North America. Their main products include tank cars, hopper cars, and freight cars used to move things like chemicals, grain, and coal. They are one of the largest railcar manufacturers and lessors in the United States.

Trinity makes money in two main ways: selling new railcars to customers and leasing railcars through its large owned fleet, which provides steady rental income over time. The company operates almost entirely in North America and has a fleet of roughly 100,000 railcars, giving it scale that smaller competitors struggle to match. The leasing business provides more predictable revenue than manufacturing alone, but Trinity faces real risk from slowing freight demand — if industries like energy or agriculture pull back, orders for new railcars and lease renewals can drop quickly.

Politician Trades

2 trades / 12mo

1 Congressional buy and 1 sell on TRN in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
22.7%
Thin — 22.7% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
12.1%
Healthy — 12.1% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
27.5%
Exceptional — 27.5% return on capital

ROIC above 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns more than 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-18.9%
Shrinking sales (-18.9% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+267.5%
Earnings growing fast (+267.5% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
115%
Turns 115% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-19.7%
Burning cash (-19.7%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.20x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.2x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
6.9x
Attractive valuation — P/E 6.9

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-7.2
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
3.81%
Moderate income — 3.81% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+4.2%
Dividend growing modestly (4.2% YoY)

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