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Triple Flag Precious Metals

TFPM
67
Other Precious Metals · Basic Materials
Also trades as: TFPM.TO
Price
$33.79
+0.50 (+1.50%)
Market Cap
$6.98B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
67
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Exceptional
Cash Flow
Mixed
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Mixed
Dividends
Mixed

Share count rising — dilution

+37.9% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 148.0M (2021) → 204.1M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Triple Flag Precious Metals is a Canadian company that finances gold and silver mines around the world. Instead of digging for metals itself, it pays mining companies upfront cash in exchange for the right to buy a portion of their future metal production at a fixed, low price. Its customers are mining operators who need capital, and its end markets are gold, silver, and other precious metals.

Triple Flag earns revenue by purchasing metals at below-market prices and selling them at full market prices, keeping the difference as profit. It operates across roughly 230 assets in over 20 countries, with major exposure to mines in Australia, Canada, and Latin America. This "streaming and royalty" model gives it high margins and insulates it from rising mining costs, since those costs stay with the mine operators. The main risk is that lower gold and silver prices would directly shrink its profit margins, as its revenue is tied to commodity prices it cannot control.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+37.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong revenue growth

EPS Growth

+171.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

Declining (-100% vs prior year)

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

1.9%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~0 months

$15M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Strong grower

Triple Flag Precious Metals is growing revenue at 37% year-over-year. The Winston Score penalises unprofitable companies, but revenue at this pace tells a different story — this is a company still in "build mode."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
68.3%
Premium pricing power — 68.3% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
65.3%
Excellent — 65.3% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
12.5%
Good — 12.5% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+50.6%
Fast-growing sales (+50.6% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+129.9%
Earnings growing fast (+129.9% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
8/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
95%
Modest — 95% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-44.6%
Burning cash (-44.6%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.10
Conservative — low debt load (0.10)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
144.08x
Comfortably covers interest (144.1x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
16.9x
Fair value — P/E 16.9

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-0.6
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
0.80%
Small dividend — 0.80% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+4.5%
Dividend growing modestly (4.5% YoY)

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