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Turning Point Brands

TPB
49
Tobacco · Consumer Defensive
Winston Score
49
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Mixed
Stability
Good
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Mixed

Winston Score History

The full picture

Turning Point Brands sells tobacco and nicotine products in the United States. Its main brands include Zig-Zag (rolling papers and cigars) and Stoker's (moist snuff and chewing tobacco). The company focuses on "alternative" tobacco products — things like loose-leaf tobacco and wraps — rather than traditional cigarettes, which are dominated by much larger players like Altria.

The company makes money by selling these products through convenience stores, tobacco shops, and online retailers across the U.S. With a gross margin near 57%, its branded products carry meaningful pricing power compared to generic competitors. Turning Point Brands is much smaller than industry giants, but its Zig-Zag brand holds strong recognition in the rolling-papers category, giving it a loyal customer base. The key growth opportunity is expanding into modern oral nicotine products like pouches, but the main risk is tightening federal regulation of tobacco and nicotine products, which could restrict what the company is allowed to sell or how it can market its brands.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+22.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-77.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

6.3%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$268M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Turning Point Brands is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 23%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
65.5%
Premium pricing power — 65.5% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
11.7%
Modest — 11.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
10.4%
Below par — 10.4% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+24.5%
Fast-growing sales (+24.5% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-3.3%
Earnings shrinking (-3.3% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
72%
Modest — 72% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
3.9%
Thin free cash flow (3.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.68
Moderate — manageable debt (0.68)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
3.07x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.1x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
35.0x
no trend
Pricey — P/E 35.0

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+3.7
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (35.0 → 31.4)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
0.36%
no trend
Small dividend — 0.36% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+6.8%
no trend
Dividend growing modestly (6.8% YoY)

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