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Universal Music Group N.V.

UMG.AS
59
Entertainment · Communication Services
Price
€14.73
-0.17 (-1.14%)
Market Cap
€27.01B
Exchange
Euronext Amsterdam
Winston Score
59
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Good
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Mixed

Share count rising — dilution

+1.8% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 1.81B (2021) → 1.85B (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Universal Music Group is one of the largest music companies in the world. It owns the rights to songs and recordings from thousands of artists, including Taylor Swift, Drake, and The Beatles. It also runs major record labels like Interscope, Capitol, and Def Jam, and sells music publishing rights, meaning it controls the underlying songs themselves — not just the recordings.

The company makes money in three main ways: streaming royalties (when songs play on Spotify or Apple Music), physical and digital sales, and licensing fees when music is used in films, ads, or TV shows. It operates globally, with strong revenue across North America, Europe, and Asia. Its moat comes from owning a massive, hard-to-replicate catalog of music rights that generate income for decades. The key risk is its dependence on a small number of streaming platforms, which gives companies like Spotify significant negotiating power over royalty rates.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+5.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-84.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

€0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (12%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

44.6%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

€3.9B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Universal Music Group N.V. is growing revenue at 5% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
37.4%
Modest — 37.4% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
15.4%
Healthy — 15.4% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
24.6%
Exceptional — 24.6% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+5.2%
Slow sales growth (+5.2% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-87.7%
Earnings shrinking (-87.7% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
491%
Turns 491% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
11.7%
Modest free cash flow (11.7%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.30
Elevated debt (1.30)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
8.22x
Comfortably covers interest (8.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
84.1x
Expensive — P/E 84.1

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+71.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (84.1 → 13.0)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
3.34%
Moderate income — 3.34% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+2.0%
Dividend flat

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