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UPM-Kymmene Oyj

RPL.DE
47
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Basic Materials
Price
€23.59
+0.28 (+1.20%)
Market Cap
€12.44B
Exchange
Frankfurt Stock Exchange
Winston Score
47
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

UPM-Kymmene is a Finnish company that makes products from trees and other natural materials. Its main businesses include printing paper, packaging materials, wood products, and biofuels made from forest waste. It also produces labels and specialty papers used by manufacturers, retailers, and publishers around the world.

The company earns money by selling these physical goods to industrial and commercial customers across Europe, North America, and Asia. UPM is one of the largest forest products companies in Europe, which gives it scale advantages in sourcing raw materials and running large mills efficiently. However, its low gross margin of around 3.6% shows how competitive and cost-sensitive this industry is. The biggest long-term risk is the continued decline in demand for printing and graphic papers as digital media replaces print, though UPM is gradually shifting investment toward higher-margin businesses like biofuels, biochemicals, and sustainable packaging to offset that pressure.

Share count broadly stable

0.9% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 533.3M (2021) → 528.6M (2025)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
12.0%
Thin — 12.0% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
8.8%
Modest — 8.8% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
9.2%
Below par — 9.2% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-7.1%
Shrinking sales (-7.1% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+86.0%
Earnings growing fast (+86.0% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
186%
Turns 186% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
8.4%
Modest free cash flow (8.4%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
9.33x
Comfortably covers interest (9.3x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
19.8x
Fair value — P/E 19.8

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+8.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (19.8 → 11.3)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
6.52%
Healthy income — 6.52% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-8.1%
Dividend cut (-8.1% YoY) — warning sign

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