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UPM-Kymmene Oyj

UPM.HE
45
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Basic Materials
Exchange
NASDAQ Helsinki
Winston Score
45
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

UPM-Kymmene is a Finnish company that makes products from wood and other natural materials. Its main businesses include printing and specialty papers, wood-based plywood and timber, self-adhesive label materials, and biofuels made from wood residues. It also generates electricity from hydropower and nuclear plants. Customers range from publishers and packaging companies to industrial manufacturers across Europe and beyond.

UPM earns revenue by selling physical goods — paper rolls, label stock, plywood sheets, and renewable fuels — rather than through subscriptions or software. The company operates primarily in Europe, with significant production in Finland, Germany, and other EU countries, and generated roughly €10–11 billion in annual sales in recent fiscal periods. Its large forest holdings and integrated supply chain give it some cost advantages, but the business faces ongoing pressure from declining demand for graphic papers as digital media continues to replace print. Expanding its biochemicals and biofuels segment is the key growth bet for the longer term.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
12.0%
Thin — 12.0% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
8.8%
Modest — 8.8% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
5.9%
Weak — 5.9% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-7.1%
Shrinking sales (-7.1% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+86.0%
Earnings growing fast (+86.0% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
186%
Turns 186% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
8.4%
Modest free cash flow (8.4%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
5.95x
Adequate interest coverage (5.9x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
19.2x
no trend
Fair value — P/E 19.2

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+8.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (19.2 → 10.6)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
6.68%
no trend
Healthy income — 6.68% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+0.0%
no trend
Dividend flat

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