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UPM-Kymmene Oyj

UPMMY
50
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Basic Materials
Price
$28.16
+0.29 (+1.04%)
Market Cap
$14.85B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
50
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Sep 5, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

§How the score breaks down

Quality
Weak
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Strong

§Winston Score History

The full picture

UPM-Kymmene is a Finnish forest industry company that makes products from wood and biomass. Its main products include paper (like magazine and newspaper paper), labels, plywood, and biochemicals. It also produces pulp, which other companies use to make tissue, packaging, and textiles.

UPM earns revenue by selling these wood-based products to publishers, packaging companies, and industrial buyers worldwide. The company operates across Europe, Asia, and the Americas, and is one of the largest forest products companies globally. Its ownership of vast forests in Finland gives it a reliable, renewable raw material base that acts as a competitive advantage. A key growth driver is UPM's push into biochemicals and renewable materials, though the ongoing decline in demand for graphic papers and cyclical pulp pricing remain significant risks to profitability.

Share count broadly stable

0.9% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 533.3M (2021) → 528.6M (2025)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
12.0%
Thin — 12.0% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
8.8%
Modest — 8.8% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
7.1%
Weak — 7.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-7.2%
Shrinking sales (-7.2% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+86.0%
Earnings growing fast (+86.0% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
184%
Turns 184% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
8.1%
Modest free cash flow (8.1%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.39
Conservative — low debt load (0.39)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
9.90x
Comfortably covers interest (9.9x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
23.7x
Growth-priced — P/E 23.7

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+11.7
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (23.7 → 11.9)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
6.28%
Healthy income — 6.28% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+7.1%
Dividend growing modestly (7.1% YoY)

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