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United Parcel Service

UPS
49
Integrated Freight & Logistics · Industrials
Also trades as: 0R08.L
Winston Score
49
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Good
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

United Parcel Service, or UPS, picks up and delivers packages and freight for businesses and individuals around the world. Its core services include ground shipping, air delivery, and international freight, serving everyone from small online sellers to large retailers and hospitals. UPS is one of the two dominant parcel carriers in the United States, alongside FedEx, and operates one of the largest private airline fleets on the planet.

UPS earns money by charging fees for each shipment, with prices based on package size, weight, speed, and distance. It operates in over 220 countries and territories, generating roughly $90 billion in annual revenue, with the U.S. domestic segment making up the largest share. Its dense delivery network and long-term contracts with major shippers create a meaningful cost advantage that is hard for new competitors to replicate. The biggest risk the company faces is the ongoing pressure from large customers, particularly Amazon, reducing their reliance on UPS by building out their own delivery networks.

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15 Congressional buys and 9 sells on UPS in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
13.3%
Thin — 13.3% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
4.1%
Thin — 4.1% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
16.3%
Strong — 16.3% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-0.3%
Shrinking sales (-0.3% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-3.7%
Earnings shrinking (-3.7% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
195%
Turns 195% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
6.1%
Modest free cash flow (6.1%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.67
Elevated debt (1.67)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
4.04x
Adequate interest coverage (4.0x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
18.9x
no trend
Fair value — P/E 18.9

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+6.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (18.9 → 12.1)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
6.28%
no trend
Healthy income — 6.28% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+0.2%
no trend
Dividend flat

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