Valvoline

VVV

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Energy

Price

$33.96

+0.15 (+0.44%)

Market Cap

$4.33B

Winston Score

Winston is serious

Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

How the score breaks down

Quality

Good

Growth

Mixed

Cash Flow

Strong

Stability

Mixed

Valuation

Good

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Share count falling — buybacks

−29.9% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 183.5M (2021) → 128.6M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Valvoline runs a chain of drive-through oil change shops across the United States. Customers pull their car in, stay in the vehicle, and get an oil change or other basic maintenance done in about 15 minutes. The company owns the Valvoline brand, which has been around for over 150 years and is one of the most recognized names in automotive care.

Valvoline makes money by charging customers for each service visit, including oil changes, tire rotations, and fluid top-offs. It operates over 1,900 locations across the U.S., a mix of company-owned and franchised shops. Its main competitive advantage is the fast, no-appointment model and strong brand recognition that keeps customers coming back. The key growth driver is expanding its franchise network, but the business faces risk if consumers cut back on spending or if electric vehicles become more common, since EVs require far fewer oil changes.

Politician Trades

2 trades / 12mo

2 Congressional buys and 0 sells on VVV in the last 12 months.

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Growth Profile

For growth stock investors

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+24.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+15.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.3%ownership

→ Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$84M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Valvoline is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 24%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Profit per sale

Gross Margin

39.5%

Modest — 39.5% gross margin

Profit after running costs

Operating Margin

20.6%

Excellent — 20.6% operating margin

Return on the money invested

ROCE

17.4%

Strong — 17.4% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth

Sales YoY

+16.1%

Fast-growing sales (+16.1% YoY)

Profit growth

EPS YoY

-65.1%

Earnings shrinking (-65.1% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is

EPS Consistency

4/8 quarters

Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash

Cash Conversion

400%

Turns 400% of profit into real cash

Spare cash per sale

FCF Margin

6.9%

Modest free cash flow (6.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns

Debt / Equity

3.84

Heavy debt load (3.84)

Covers its interest

Interest Cover

5.81x

Adequate interest coverage (5.8x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit

P/E Ratio (TTM)

45.9x

Expensive — P/E 45.9

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year

P/E vs Forward

+32.2

GROWING

Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (45.9 → 13.7)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.

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