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Velocity Financial

VEL
63
Financial - Mortgages · Financial Services
Price
$18.34
+0.02 (+0.11%)
Market Cap
$719.9M
Winston Score
63
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Exceptional
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Strong

Share count rising — dilution

+12.3% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 34.0M (2021) → 38.2M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Velocity Financial is a real estate lender that makes loans to small-scale property investors — people who buy houses, apartment buildings, or commercial properties to rent out for income. Instead of lending to regular homebuyers, Velocity focuses on landlords and real estate entrepreneurs who need financing for investment properties. The company operates in the United States and is a specialty lender in the investor real estate loan market.

Velocity makes money by charging interest on the loans it issues, earning the difference between its borrowing costs and the rates it charges customers. The company funds its loans by borrowing money in the capital markets and then lending it out at higher rates, which is why its reported return on invested capital looks unusual — it is a heavily leveraged business by design. Its main competitive edge is its focus on a narrow, underserved niche that big banks largely avoid, but rising interest rates are a key risk because they compress the spread between what Velocity earns and what it pays to borrow.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+7.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-7.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

38.3%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$245M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Velocity Financial is growing revenue at 8% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
88.2%
Premium pricing power — 88.2% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
86.2%
Excellent — 86.2% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
6.4%
Weak — 6.4% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+32.5%
Fast-growing sales (+32.5% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+18.8%
Earnings growing fast (+18.8% YoY)

Healthy double-digit earnings growth — what compounders look like.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
7/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
21%
Weak — only 21% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
3.2%
Thin free cash flow (3.2%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
9.77
Heavy debt load (9.77)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.19x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.2x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
6.6x
Attractive valuation — P/E 6.6

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+0.2
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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