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Victory Metals Limited

VTM.AX
25
Gold · Basic Materials
Price
A$1.53
+0.01 (+0.33%)
Market Cap
A$165.7M
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
25
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Based on the IPO prospectus (annual filing). This score will refine automatically once the company reports its first quarters.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Good
Valuation
Data not available

Share count rising — dilution

+122.9% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 47.0M (2021) → 104.8M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Victory Metals Limited is a small Australian mining exploration company focused on finding and developing gold deposits. It does not yet produce or sell gold commercially — instead, it explores land for mineral resources, mainly targeting gold and potentially other metals. The company holds exploration licenses in Western Australia, one of the world's most active gold mining regions.

Victory Metals earns little to no operating revenue from mining at this stage. Its financials reflect a pre-revenue exploration business, where the unusual margin figures are artifacts of accounting rather than real profitability — the negative ROIC confirms the company is spending more than it earns. It is a micro-cap company operating almost entirely in Australia. The key risk is that exploration-stage companies frequently fail to convert promising ground into economically viable mines, and they rely heavily on raising new capital from investors to keep operating. Success depends entirely on what lies beneath the ground.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-100.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-553.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

A$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

20.8%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~3 years

A$14M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

A$14M cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

Victory Metals Limited's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
100.0%
Premium pricing power — 100.0% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
-2154.2%
Losing money on operations — -2154.2%
Return on the money invested
ROCE
-18.7%
Weak — -18.7% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+146.1%
Fast-growing sales (+146.1% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
N/A
Data not available

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-2844.7%
Burning cash (-2844.7%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.01
Conservative — low debt load (0.01)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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