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Vulcan Energy Resources

VUL.AX
8
Other Precious Metals · Basic Materials
Price
A$2.76
+0.03 (+1.10%)
Market Cap
A$1.22B
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
8
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.
Based on the IPO prospectus (annual filing). This score will refine automatically once the company reports its first quarters.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Good
Valuation
Data not available

Share count rising — dilution

+57.3% over 3y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 149.6M (2022) → 235.3M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Vulcan Energy Resources is an Australian company working to produce lithium and renewable energy from underground hot saltwater in Germany's Upper Rhine Valley. Lithium is a key ingredient in electric vehicle batteries, and Vulcan's main target customers are European automakers and battery manufacturers. The company calls its approach "Zero Carbon Lithium" because it aims to extract lithium while also generating geothermal electricity from the same hot water source.

Vulcan is still in the development stage, meaning it has not yet generated meaningful revenue from lithium sales, which explains its deeply negative operating margin. It operates primarily in Germany and is listed on the Australian Securities Exchange, with a market cap of around $800 million. The company's main competitive angle is its combined lithium-and-geothermal project in a region with strong demand for locally sourced, low-emission battery materials — but the key risk is that large-scale geothermal lithium extraction has never been proven commercially, and the path from exploration to full production remains long and expensive.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-69.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-27.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

€0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

30.1%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Runway

~3 years

€527M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

€527M cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

Vulcan Energy Resources's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
-412.3%
Thin — -412.3% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
-810.0%
Losing money on operations — -810.0%
Return on the money invested
ROCE
-6.8%
Weak — -6.8% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-64.7%
Shrinking sales (-64.7% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
N/A
Data not available

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-1595.3%
Burning cash (-1595.3%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.01
Conservative — low debt load (0.01)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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