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Warrior Met Coal

HCC
55
Coal · Energy
Winston Score
55
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Good
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Weak

Winston Score History

The full picture

Warrior Met Coal is a U.S. company that mines and sells metallurgical coal, which is a special type of coal used to make steel. Unlike regular coal burned for electricity, met coal is a key ingredient in steel production, and Warrior sells almost entirely to steel mills around the world. The company operates underground mines in Alabama and is one of the larger pure-play metallurgical coal producers in the United States.

Warrior makes money by selling met coal by the ton, so its revenue rises and falls with global met coal prices. Most of its customers are steel producers in Europe, South America, and Asia, making the business heavily tied to international steel demand. The main risk is that met coal prices are volatile and outside the company's control, and long-term demand faces uncertainty as steelmakers experiment with lower-carbon production methods that require less traditional met coal.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+70.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

>+1,000% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

Insider Activity

2.1%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$322M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Warrior Met Coal grew revenue 71% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
31.9%
Modest — 31.9% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
18.5%
Healthy — 18.5% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
9.4%
Below par — 9.4% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+37.5%
Fast-growing sales (+37.5% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+439.1%
Earnings growing fast (+439.1% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
3/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
132%
Turns 132% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-5.1%
Burning cash (-5.1%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.07
Conservative — low debt load (0.07)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
17.01x
Comfortably covers interest (17.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
25.7x
no trend
Growth-priced — P/E 25.7

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+9.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (25.7 → 16.5)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
0.33%
no trend
Small dividend — 0.33% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+0.0%
no trend
Dividend flat

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