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Watsco

WSO
50
Industrial - Distribution · Industrials
Price
$311.94
-2.51 (-0.80%)
Market Cap
$12.85B
Winston Score
50
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Good
Stability
Good
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Exceptional

Share count rising — dilution

+7.0% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 35.4M (2021) → 37.9M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Watsco is the largest distributor of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment in the United States. It sells products from major brands like Carrier, Trane, and Rheem to contractors — the technicians who install and repair HVAC systems in homes and businesses. The company does not manufacture anything itself; it simply moves products from factories to the people who do the actual installation work.

Watsco makes money by buying equipment and parts in bulk and reselling them at a markup through its network of over 690 distribution locations across the U.S., Canada, Latin America, and the Caribbean. Its scale and long-term exclusive distribution agreements with top manufacturers give it a meaningful edge over smaller regional competitors. The key growth driver is the ongoing replacement cycle for aging HVAC systems, especially as new federal energy-efficiency standards are pushing homeowners and businesses to upgrade older equipment — though a slowdown in housing and construction activity remains a real risk to demand.

Politician Trades

2 trades / 12mo

1 Congressional buy and 1 sell on WSO in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
27.5%
Modest — 27.5% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
11.3%
Modest — 11.3% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
22.7%
Exceptional — 22.7% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-3.0%
Shrinking sales (-3.0% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-11.5%
Earnings shrinking (-11.5% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
81%
Modest — 81% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
4.9%
Thin free cash flow (4.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
100.00x
Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
26.9x
Growth-priced — P/E 26.9

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+3.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (26.9 → 23.6)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
4.23%
Healthy income — 4.23% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+10.5%
Dividend growing fast (10.5% YoY)

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