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X Financial

XYF
63
Financial - Credit Services · Financial Services
Price
$5.39
-0.11 (-2.00%)
Market Cap
$35.8M
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
63
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Mar 31, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Good
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Good

Share count falling — buybacks

25.9% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 9.4M (2021) → 6.9M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

X Financial is a Chinese online lending company that connects borrowers with lenders through its digital platform. It mainly offers personal installment loans and credit products to individual consumers and small business owners in China. The company operates entirely online, making it part of China's large and competitive fintech lending industry.

X Financial makes money by charging fees and interest on the loans it facilitates, keeping a portion of each transaction as revenue. It operates exclusively in China and is a relatively small player in the market, with a market cap that reflects its modest scale. The company's main competitive edge is its use of data and technology to assess borrower risk quickly, but it faces significant risk from China's strict and frequently changing regulations on online lending, which have already forced major restructuring across the industry in recent years.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-39.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-91.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

¥0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

63.8%ownership

Declining

Insider ownership declining — could be dilution or selling

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

¥10.4B cash & investments

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

X Financial's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
58.7%
Premium pricing power — 58.7% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
12.0%
Modest — 12.0% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
14.7%
Good — 14.7% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+31.8%
Fast-growing sales (+31.8% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-29.1%
Earnings shrinking (-29.1% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
141%
Turns 141% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
21.1%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (21.1%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.05
Conservative — low debt load (0.05)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
0.93x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.9x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
0.2x
Attractive valuation — P/E 0.2

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-2.4
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
20.36%
Healthy income — 20.36% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
N/A
Data not available

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