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XPO Logistics

XPO
58
Trucking · Industrials
Also trades as: 0M1O.L
Price
$197.74
+0.90 (+0.46%)
Market Cap
$23.15B
Winston Score
58
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+4.4% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 114.0M (2021) → 119.0M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

XPO is a trucking and freight company based in the United States. It specializes in less-than-truckload (LTL) shipping, which means it combines packages from many different customers into one truck instead of giving each customer their own truck. Its main customers are retailers, manufacturers, and e-commerce companies that need to move goods across the country.

XPO makes money by charging businesses to pick up, sort, and deliver freight through its network of over 600 service centers across North America. After selling off several other divisions in recent years, XPO is now focused almost entirely on its LTL business, which gives it a simpler but more concentrated operation. Its large network of terminals and trucks is expensive to copy, which creates a barrier for new competitors, but the business is sensitive to economic slowdowns because companies ship less freight when the economy weakens.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+13.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+53.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

11.8%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

5+ years

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

$298M cash & investments at current burn rate

Growth context

XPO Logistics is growing revenue at 13% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
46.9%
Healthy — 46.9% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
11.5%
Modest — 11.5% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
15.4%
Strong — 15.4% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+7.0%
Steady sales growth (+7.0% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+15.9%
Earnings growing fast (+15.9% YoY)

Healthy double-digit earnings growth — what compounders look like.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
224%
Turns 224% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
4.7%
Thin free cash flow (4.7%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.72
Elevated debt (1.72)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
3.91x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.9x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
57.7x
Expensive — P/E 57.7

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+29.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (57.7 → 28.1)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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