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Xponential Fitness

XPOF
38
Leisure · Consumer Cyclical
Winston Score
38
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Data not available

Winston Score History

The full picture

Xponential Fitness owns and sells franchises for boutique fitness studios across ten different workout brands. Those brands include Club Pilates, CycleBar, StretchLab, Row House, and Pure Barre, among others. Customers are everyday people who pay monthly memberships to attend small-group fitness classes, and the company sells franchise licenses to entrepreneurs who want to open and run those studios.

Xponential makes most of its money by collecting franchise fees, royalties on studio sales, and selling equipment and supplies to its franchisees. It operates primarily in North America but has been expanding into international markets like Japan, Australia, and the Middle East. The franchise model creates a relatively steady stream of royalty income without the company needing to own every location itself, which helps explain its high gross margins. The main risk is that boutique fitness is a discretionary expense, meaning members tend to cancel when household budgets get tight, making the business sensitive to economic downturns.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-13.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-785.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

22.4%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~17 months

$25M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Adequate runway but may need to raise capital within 2 years

Revenue declining

Xponential Fitness's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
85.2%
Premium pricing power — 85.2% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
14.4%
Healthy — 14.4% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
5.2%
Weak — 5.2% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-9.1%
Shrinking sales (-9.1% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-3.1%
Burning cash (-3.1%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.15x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.2x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
no trend
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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