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Zip Co Limited

ZIP.AX
51
Financial - Credit Services · Financial Services
Price
A$2.57
-0.48 (-15.74%)
Market Cap
A$3.20B
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
51
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Exceptional
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Good
Valuation
Strong

Share count rising — dilution

+110.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 609.7M (2022) → 1.28B (2026)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Zip Co is an Australian buy now, pay later (BNPL) company. It lets shoppers buy things immediately and pay in smaller installments over time, usually interest-free if paid on schedule. Zip partners with thousands of retailers — both online and in physical stores — across categories like fashion, electronics, and home goods, and its main customers are everyday consumers looking for flexible payment options.

Zip earns money by charging merchants a fee each time a customer uses Zip to pay, and it also collects interest and late fees from some borrowers. The company operates primarily in Australia and the United States, with Australia being its more profitable core market. Its competitive moat is modest — the BNPL space is crowded, with rivals like Afterpay, Klarna, and even PayPal offering similar services. The key risk Zip faces is rising credit losses if economic conditions weaken and more borrowers miss payments, which would directly pressure its already thin returns on capital.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+21.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+15.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

R&D Spend

A$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (7%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

1.0%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~6 months

A$433M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

Zip Co Limited has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
62.9%
Premium pricing power — 62.9% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
11.8%
Modest — 11.8% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
4.3%
Weak — 4.3% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+25.7%
Fast-growing sales (+25.7% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+47.3%
Earnings growing fast (+47.3% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
7/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
-74%
Weak — only -74% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-6.5%
Burning cash (-6.5%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
4.08
Heavy debt load (4.08)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
215.22x
Comfortably covers interest (215.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
28.1x
Growth-priced — P/E 28.1

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+13.9
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (28.1 → 14.1)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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