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Annaly Capital Management

NLY
47
REIT - Mortgage · Real Estate
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
47
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Strong
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Strong

Winston Score History

The full picture

Annaly Capital Management is one of the largest mortgage real estate investment trusts (mREITs) in the United States. Instead of owning physical buildings, it invests in mortgage-backed securities — essentially bundles of home loans — along with other mortgage-related assets. Its "customers" are really the broader housing finance market, and it plays a behind-the-scenes role in helping fund American homeownership.

Annaly makes money by borrowing at short-term interest rates and investing in longer-term mortgage assets that pay higher rates, pocketing the difference called the "net interest spread." It operates almost entirely in the U.S. and is one of the biggest players in its space, with over $70 billion in assets. Because its profits depend heavily on the gap between short- and long-term interest rates, rising or unpredictable rate environments are its biggest ongoing risk — when that spread narrows, earnings can fall quickly.

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1 Congressional buy and 2 sells on NLY in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
100.0%
Premium pricing power — 100.0% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
93.5%
Excellent — 93.5% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
4.8%
Weak — 4.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-8.3%
Shrinking sales (-8.3% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+297.0%
Earnings growing fast (+297.0% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
7/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
-19%
Weak — only -19% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-26.6%
Burning cash (-26.6%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
7.38
Heavy debt load (7.38)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.32x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.3x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
5.8x
no trend
Attractive valuation — P/E 5.8

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-1.6
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
12.54%
no trend
Healthy income — 12.54% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+5.6%
no trend
Dividend growing modestly (5.6% YoY)

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