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Golub Capital BDC

GBDC
49
Asset Management · Financial Services
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
49
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

Golub Capital BDC is a business development company (BDC) that lends money to medium-sized private businesses in the United States. Instead of making products, it acts like a bank — giving loans to companies that are too small or too risky to borrow easily from traditional banks. Most of its borrowers are private equity-backed businesses across industries like software, healthcare, and services.

The company earns money mainly through interest payments on the loans it makes, which is a straightforward lending model. It operates almost entirely in the US and has a portfolio worth several billion dollars in loans. Its competitive edge comes from its close relationship with its parent, Golub Capital, a well-established private credit manager with deep ties to private equity sponsors. The main risk is that rising loan defaults — especially if the economy weakens — could hurt earnings and force cuts to the dividend that many investors rely on.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
77.3%
Premium pricing power — 77.3% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
75.9%
Excellent — 75.9% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
4.8%
Weak — 4.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-14.1%
Shrinking sales (-14.1% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-61.3%
Earnings shrinking (-61.3% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
1/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
627%
Turns 627% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
128.6%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (128.6%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.22
Elevated debt (1.22)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.55x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.5x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
24.0x
no trend
Growth-priced — P/E 24.0

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+14.4
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (24.0 → 9.6)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
10.93%
no trend
Healthy income — 10.93% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-11.5%
no trend
Dividend cut (-11.5% YoY) — warning sign

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