Stock

Main Street Capital Corporation

MAIN
53
Asset Management · Financial Services
Also trades as: 0JXQ.L GBP 0.54 (+1.06%)
Price
$54.10
+0.80 (+1.50%)
Market Cap
$5.06B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
53
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Oct 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

§How the score breaks down

Quality
Strong
22/30
Growth
Mixed
5/20
Cash Flow
Strong
7/10
Stability
Good
5/10
Valuation
Good
5/10
Ownership
Mixed
6/15
Dividends
Good
3/5

53 of 100 counted points = Winston Score 53.

Share count rising — dilution

+29.6% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 69.0M (2021) → 89.4M (2025)

§Winston Score History

The full picture

Main Street Capital is a company that lends money and invests in small and medium-sized businesses across the United States. These businesses are often too small to borrow from big banks or sell stock on public markets, so they turn to firms like Main Street for funding. Main Street provides both loans and equity investments, meaning it can own a piece of the companies it backs.

Main Street makes money by collecting interest on its loans and earning returns when its portfolio companies grow or are sold. It is structured as a Business Development Company, or BDC, which requires it to pay out most of its income to shareholders as dividends. With a market cap near $4.8 billion, it is one of the largest BDCs in the country, and its internally managed structure keeps costs lower than many competitors. The main risk is that an economic slowdown could cause small businesses in its portfolio to struggle to repay their loans.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
75.5%
Premium pricing power — 75.5% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
62.7%
Excellent — 62.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
7.9%
Weak — 7.9% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-7.2%
Shrinking sales (-7.2% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-18.3%
Earnings shrinking (-18.3% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
79%
Modest — 79% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
50.9%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (50.9%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.80
Moderate — manageable debt (0.80)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
3.36x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.4x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
10.9x
Attractive valuation — P/E 10.9

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-3.4
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
5.77%
Healthy income — 5.77% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat
Payout Ratio
77%
no trend
Most of the profit goes out as dividends. Little left to reinvest, and less cushion if earnings dip.

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