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PACCAR

PCAR
38
Industrial - Machinery · Industrials
Also trades as: 0KET.L GBP 1.11 (-0.09%)
Price
$110.82
+0.01 (+0.01%)
Market Cap
$58.33B
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
38
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Oct 18, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

§How the score breaks down

Quality
Mixed
8/30
Growth
Weak
2/20
Cash Flow
Strong
8/10
Stability
Strong
8/10
Valuation
Strong
7/10
Ownership
Mixed
4/15
Dividends
Weak
1/5

38 of 100 counted points = Winston Score 38.

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§Winston Score History

The full picture

PACCAR makes large trucks used to haul freight on highways. Its main brands are Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF — names well-known to professional truck drivers and freight companies across North America and Europe. It is one of the largest heavy-duty truck manufacturers in the world and also sells truck parts through its dealer network.

PACCAR earns money by selling trucks, but it also runs a financial services division that loans money to customers buying those trucks, and a parts business that generates steady revenue between new truck purchases. It operates primarily in the US, Canada, Mexico, and Europe, giving it broad geographic reach. Its strong dealer relationships, brand loyalty among fleet operators, and parts business create a durable competitive position. The main risk is that truck demand is highly cyclical — when freight volumes drop or interest rates rise, fleet operators delay purchases, which can sharply reduce PACCAR's earnings.

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Share count broadly stable

+0.8% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 522.6M (2021) → 526.8M (2025)

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
16.1%
Thin — 16.1% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
11.7%
Modest — 11.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
6.7%
Weak — 6.7% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-12.3%
Shrinking sales (-12.3% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-18.6%
Earnings shrinking (-18.6% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
173%
Turns 173% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
11.5%
Modest free cash flow (11.5%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.96
Moderate — manageable debt (0.96)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
125.65x
Comfortably covers interest (125.7x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
23.3x
Growth-priced — P/E 23.3

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+9.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (23.3 → 13.7)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
1.28%
Small dividend — 1.28% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-42.3%
Dividend cut (-42.3% YoY) — warning sign
Payout Ratio
58%
no trend
Pays out a modest share of profit and keeps the rest to reinvest. Room to keep paying through a weak year.

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