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Toll Brothers

TOL
41
Residential Construction · Consumer Cyclical
Also trades as: 0LFS.L
Winston Score
41
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jul 31, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Mixed

Winston Score History

The full picture

Toll Brothers builds and sells new homes in the United States. The company focuses mostly on luxury homes, targeting higher-income buyers who want larger, more customizable houses. It is one of the largest luxury homebuilders in the country, operating in over 60 markets across more than 24 states.

The company makes money by selling newly constructed homes, with prices typically ranging from the mid-$500,000s to well over $1 million. Toll Brothers also earns additional revenue through its own mortgage, title, and home design services, which help keep customers in its ecosystem. Its focus on the luxury segment gives it some insulation from entry-level housing competition, but rising mortgage interest rates remain a key risk, as higher borrowing costs can quickly reduce demand from even well-off buyers.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
24.6%
Thin — 24.6% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
13.5%
Healthy — 13.5% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
13.2%
Good — 13.2% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-1.1%
Shrinking sales (-1.1% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-8.6%
Earnings shrinking (-8.6% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
3/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
109%
Turns 109% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
11.3%
Modest free cash flow (11.3%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.32
Conservative — low debt load (0.32)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
100.00x
Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
11.7x
no trend
Attractive valuation — P/E 11.7

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+0.3
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
0.70%
no trend
Small dividend — 0.70% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+6.3%
no trend
Dividend growing modestly (6.3% YoY)

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