Stock

Toll Brothers

TOL

Residential Construction · Consumer Cyclical

Also trades as: 0LFS.L GBP 1.40 (-0.24%)

Price

$140.58

-0.50 (-0.35%)

Market Cap

$12.95B

Winston Score

Winston is serious

Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.

Data as of Oct 23, 2026 · filings through Jul 31, 2026

§How the score breaks down

Quality

Mixed

13/30

Growth

Weak

2/20

Cash Flow

Strong

7/10

Stability

Exceptional

9/10

Valuation

Good

6/10

Ownership

Weak

2/15

Dividends

Mixed

2/5

41 of 100 counted points = Winston Score 41.

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Share count falling — buybacks

−20.7% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 125.8M (2021) → 99.8M (2025)

§Winston Score History

The full picture

Toll Brothers builds and sells new homes in the United States. The company focuses mostly on luxury homes, targeting higher-income buyers who want larger, more customizable houses. It is one of the largest luxury homebuilders in the country, operating in over 60 markets across more than 24 states.

The company makes money by selling newly constructed homes, with prices typically ranging from the mid-$500,000s to well over $1 million. Toll Brothers also earns additional revenue through its own mortgage, title, and home design services, which help keep customers in its ecosystem. Its focus on the luxury segment gives it some insulation from entry-level housing competition, but rising mortgage interest rates remain a key risk, as higher borrowing costs can quickly reduce demand from even well-off buyers.

Politician Trades

1 trades / 12mo

0 Congressional buys and 1 sell on TOL in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale

Gross Margin

24.6%

Thin — 24.6% gross margin

Profit after running costs

Operating Margin

13.5%

Healthy — 13.5% operating margin

Return on the money invested

ROCE

13.2%

Good — 13.2% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth

Sales YoY

-1.1%

Shrinking sales (-1.1% YoY)

Profit growth

EPS YoY

-8.6%

Earnings shrinking (-8.6% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

How steady the profit is

EPS Consistency

3/8 quarters

Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash

Cash Conversion

109%

Turns 109% of profit into real cash

Spare cash per sale

FCF Margin

11.3%

Modest free cash flow (11.3%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns

Debt / Equity

0.32

Conservative — low debt load (0.32)

Covers its interest

Interest Cover

100.00x

—

Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit

P/E Ratio (TTM)

11.2x

Attractive valuation — P/E 11.2

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year

P/E vs Forward

+0.4

GROWING

Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend

Dividend Yield

0.76%

Small dividend — 0.76% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record

Dividend Growth

+5.1%

Dividend growing modestly (5.1% YoY)

Payout Ratio

no trend

Pays out a modest share of profit and keeps the rest to reinvest. Room to keep paying through a weak year.

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