WinstonWınston
Back
Stock

United Parcel Service

UPS
47
Integrated Freight & Logistics · Industrials
Also trades as: 0R08.L GBP 1.01 (-0.78%)
Price
$101.06
-0.46 (-0.45%)
Market Cap
$75.73B
Winston Score
47
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Oct 24, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026

§How the score breaks down

Quality
Mixed
10/30
Growth
Weak
3/20
Cash Flow
Strong
8/10
Stability
Good
5/10
Valuation
Strong
8/10
Ownership
Good
10/15
Dividends
Good
3/5

47 of 100 counted points = Winston Score 47.

Track this stock — start free trial

Share count falling — buybacks

−3.2% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 878.0M (2021) → 850.0M (2025)

§Winston Score History

The full picture

United Parcel Service, or UPS, picks up and delivers packages and freight for businesses and individuals around the world. Its core services include ground shipping, air delivery, and international freight, serving everyone from small online sellers to large retailers and hospitals. UPS is one of the two dominant parcel carriers in the United States, alongside FedEx, and operates one of the largest private airline fleets on the planet.

UPS earns money by charging fees for each shipment, with prices based on package size, weight, speed, and distance. It operates in over 220 countries and territories, generating roughly $90 billion in annual revenue, with the U.S. domestic segment making up the largest share. Its dense delivery network and long-term contracts with major shippers create a meaningful cost advantage that is hard for new competitors to replicate. The biggest risk the company faces is the ongoing pressure from large customers, particularly Amazon, reducing their reliance on UPS by building out their own delivery networks.

Politician Trades

19 trades / 12mo

12 Congressional buys and 7 sells on UPS in the last 12 months.

Unlock the full Smart Money Map — every trade plotted on the price chart with politicians, amounts and returns since each trade. Founder's Deal is $57/mo locked for life.

Unlock politician trades
Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
13.3%
Thin — 13.3% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
4.1%
Thin — 4.1% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
15.0%
Strong — 15.0% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-0.3%
Shrinking sales (-0.3% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-19.9%
Earnings shrinking (-19.9% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
195%
Turns 195% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
6.1%
Modest free cash flow (6.1%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.90
Elevated debt (1.90)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
4.04x
Adequate interest coverage (4.0x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
18.7x
Fair value — P/E 18.7

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+7.9
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (18.7 → 10.9)

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free

Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
6.97%
Healthy income — 6.97% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+0.2%
Dividend flat
Payout Ratio
118%
no trend
Paying out more than the last 12 months of profit. The dividend is being funded from cash or borrowing, not this year’s earnings.

Full breakdown available with your free trial

See every metric, trend, and what it means for this stock.

Try free
🔒 See full fundamentals and if they are improving or declining — click here for your free trial now.
Start free trial